Reconstructing Zimbabwe

. Tendai Biti  . Nigel Chanakira  . Collen Gwiyo
. Simba H. Makoni
Moderated by . Raenette Taljaard
Friday 6 June
The focus of the session was changed from future reconstruction to the
current political and economic crisis in Zimbabwe. Session moderator,
Raenette Taljaard, Executive Director, Helen Suzman Foundation, South
Africa, announced that agreement had been reached on this procedure by the
panellists before the session.

She asked the panel to look first at the

period of “great uncertainty and great danger” in the next 20 days until the

scheduled run-off presidential election.

Tendai Biti, Secretary-General, Movement for Democratic Change (MDC),

Zimbabwe, said reconstruction and rehabilitation would happen sooner rather

than later, but only once the political crisis has been resolved. He

described Zimbabwe as a failed state, but also a predatory state because of

violence he blamed on the Mugabe government. The current violence, with 60

people killed and 1,000 displaced, means the regime is sending a message to

the region and the world that it does not care and will not respect life,

the rule of law or the will of its people.

He said the MDC is ready for dialogue, but there can be no government of

national unity “between democrats and despots”. Although it is preparing

reluctantly for the run-off election, it believes that President Robert

Mugabe wants to win the election at any cost, and then control subsequent

negotiations from a position of power.

Simba H. Makoni, Managing Director, Makonsult, Zimbabwe, a candidate in the

first round of presidential elections, explained his argument for the

postponement of the run-off election and the formation of a government of

national unity. He said an election cannot be held when conditions,

particularly in rural areas, are “hell on earth”, when the leadership is

assaulting the people and there is no semblance of conditions for a free and

fair election reflecting the will of the people. In these conditions neither

President Mugabe nor his opponent Morgan Tsvangirai would be able to form an

effective government.

He stated a transitional government of national unity should take over and

strengthen democracy until the country has the resources to conduct an

election with free campaigning by all parties and a free vote by the people.

Nigel Chanakira, Group Chief Executive Officer, Kingdom Meikles Africa,

Zimbabwe, said that while macroeconomic conditions in Zimbabwe defy all

logic, there are business opportunities in the chaos and these opportunities

will multiply rapidly after a political resolution. He proposed a ten-point

plan for Zimbabwe, including international dialogue, governance and

constitutional reform, donor and investor conferences and the engagement of

multilateral institutions, including the Southern African Development

Community (SADC).

Collen Gwiyo, Vice-Chair, Crisis Coalition, Zimbabwe Congress of Trade

Unions (ZCTU), opposed a postponement of the presidential election, but did

favour dialogue between Mugabe and Tsvangirai which he said Mugabe has so

far refused. Gwiyo blamed the “politics of exclusivity” in which the ruling

Zanu-PF party believes one belongs to the party or does not exist. This

attitude has undermined national debate and dialogue.

Asked where economic reconstruction would happen fastest, Chanakira said

that in an economy functioning at between 5-15% of potential output, almost

every sector would become an engine for growth. Makoni said the recovery

would be started by tourism, as the quickest growth area. Agriculture could

start recovering within a season, a manufacturing revival could be

kick-started within nine to 15 months, while a recovery in the resources

industry would take longer.

world economic forum

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