Wounded Buffalo

You will recall my analogy of a wounded buffalo. For those who do not know
Africa or Zimbabwe in particular, there is another aspect or possibility to
the behavior of this badly wounded animal that sometimes plays itself out.

In the Zambezi valley you find many different types of bushveld. It is

famous for the large stands of mature mopani set in open grassland and

harboring all sorts of wild life. One such system allows the Zambezi

lovebirds to breed in the tops of mature mopani but only when it is

associated with permanent open water. Another system that is almost unique

to the Valley is the Jesse (pronounced jessy)

The Jess grows on rich alluvial soils with a sand base. It comprises

millions of large shrub like plants that grow up to 3 or 4 metres high, it

is interspersed with larger trees that stand like islands in a green lush

sea. In winter the Jesse drops it leaves and visibility can be quite good –

50 metres or more. In summer, the shrubs produce prolific leafage and

visibility can be down to a couple of metres. When it is like this it

becomes a favorite haunt of many wild life species and of course elephant.

The Ranger, when I worked in the Valley was a man I knew as “Lofty” Stokes.

He was called Lofty because he stood well over six feet. On one occasion he

had to go after an elephant that had been shot raiding crops and had

retreated into the Jesse. Visibility was zero and Lofty and his assistant

tracked the animal into the Jesse, using a small bag of fine ash to test the

wind direction. An elephant has excellent hearing and smell and any wind

from the hunter to the hunted could spell disaster in these conditions.

Eventually he felt that the animal was close and stopped to listen – he

could hear its stomach rumbling but despite the proximity could not see a

thing.

If such a retreat is available, a wounded buffalo will almost always run

deep into its shelter and protection. With his senses a hunter would be very

foolish to attempt what Lofty had done and to try and finish him off in

those conditions. He is better off waiting either for the animal to leave

the security of the Jesse or to try and drive him out of the shelter into

more open country where a final shot could be attempted.

Mugabe has been fatally wounded and has retreated into the Jesse. He did so

when he shut down the ZEC National Control Center and moved it to a secure

location where it continues to work behind closed doors. Today they move

deeper into the Jesse by holding recounts in 23 constituencies. They are

regrouping after the original hit.

They have had control of the results and the ballot boxes for three weeks.

They have been working furiously to doctor the ballot boxes they have

targeted and I have no doubt that they will announce – perhaps next week,

that hey presto! the original count done so carefully in front of observers

3 weeks ago had been very seriously wrong! They will then declare that they

have a majority in the House of Assembly and that the original hit was not

fatal, just a serious flesh wound and that a run-off will take place in 21

days.

Already they are planning their strategies for when they have to leave the

safety of the Jesse and face their dreaded hunter with the guns. They have

deployed their foot soldiers to all areas of the country where they are

beating and killing MDC supporters. They are tightening their control over

the media, the food system and they are threatening whole communities with

starvation if they do not cower down and vote for Mugabe. They are

threatening traditional leaders and others with influence and if necessary

are destroying their assets and even driving them into the towns where they

will not be able to influence others or even vote.

As for preparations for the final showdown with the MDC they are printing

ballots – lots of them. They are reviewing the system used last time to see

where they made mistakes and closing loopholes. They are trying to ensure

that this time they can defend themselves and win. Indeed they have to think

they can win or they will not leave the Jesse and simply face up to a slow

death.

Despite the fact that this whole exercise is a complete sham, condemned by

every democratic government in the world, they will probably get away with

this subterfuge. South Africa is playing along under its illustrious

leadership as are the majority of the SADC and African States with some

notable exceptions. MDC is beating the bush with its supporters around the

world and in the region, but that old buffalo is not going to leave the

Jesse until he is good and ready to rumble.

The MDC has little choice but to go with the run-off. We must try to prepare

the ground as best that we can, not knowing where the old buffalo will come

out and in what condition he will be or even if he will have support. One

type of support we already know about is the 77 tonnes of arms on a ship

that tried to dock in Durban 4 days ago and has now left for Mozambique. If

this consignment is allowed to reach the Mugabe regime with its millions of

rounds of ammunition, China and Mozambique are assisting in genocide.

So we have little choice but to demand of the UN and SADC that they honor

their commitment to see that the final contest is fair and that the

balloting is transparent and conducted properly under our new Electoral Act

and regulations. Observer missions must be in place for this and must be

credible. The observer team dispatched today under the leadership of South

Africa to observe the recount is simply not credible – they are whitewashing

a massive untruth.

Do I think that we can win such a skewed contest? Yes I do. After 8 years we

know our adversary well and our intelligence is so much better than it was

previously. We also know the ground on which this contest will take place

and that our target is a seriously wounded animal. But we have to prepare

ourselves and be careful and alert and in particular use that small bag of

ash to ensure he does not know where the hunter is when he comes out of the

Jesse.

Once this old buffalo is out in more open country and does not have the

protection of the Jesse, he is ours. I think you have seen that this time

round the MDC is much more confident of itself; its making good tactical

decisions and handling itself with maturity and skill. We are a dangerous

hunter and are determined that this time our quarry will not get away from

us and will get his due.

Eddie Cross

Bulawayo, 19th April 2008

Post published in: News

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *