There has been no significant change to the scenarios that I painted a few weeks ago. The MDC remains the hottest favourite to win the March 29 elections at all the four levels, with the possibility of Morgan Tsvangirai winning an absolute majority in the first round of the presidential elections.
I discount the possibility of Robert Mugabe and his disintegrating ZanuPF winning more votes that Simba Makoni and his “No Name” formation. What we have witnessed during the campaign period is that almost no one was willing to attend any of Mugabe’s rallies voluntarily. State coercive apparatus had to into overdrive to mobilise people of all ages to close down everything and attend the old and senile geriatric’s historical narrations in the dead of heat. Those who bothered to show up only did so to protect themselves from the wrath of our brutal running dogs of dictatorship, the police, the army and the satanic CIO.
Mugabe and ZanuPF therefore remain as the fourth scenario at “very unlikely”. This is obviously assuming that for some reason or other, the rigging machinery will be incapacitated, or will find out that there are numerous plans being hatched to thwart their efforts and expose them should they try to manipulate the electoral process in favour of the detested tyrant, Robert Mugabe. As earlier noted, there is a lot of disenchantment with the diabolical Mugabe regime right in the house of dictatorship itself. There are many among the very people that should facilitate the stealing of the election results that are very unhappy about the continuing destruction of Zimbabwe by a mindless and selfish tyrant.
The numbers game also largely remains the same at both the lower and upper houses of Parliament. Perhaps the only possible variation might be that the Makoni formation might win slightly more senate seats than the split ZanuPF. A lot will, depend on whether some of the so-called senior ZanuPF supporters of Simba Makoni go public before the actual polling day. Should this happen, ZanuPF is likely to garner the fewest seats at both levels of the House come 29 March 2008.
There is no question that the people of Zimbabwe have been approached and informed about the need for them to participate in the election. Virtually, all political parties have been active on the campaign trail, and their messages have been reasonably clear to the voters. Sadly, though not unexpectedly, candidates like one Robert Mugabe had nothing new to excite the electorate about. Most people are tired of the lecturers in colonial history that Mugabe and his retired and tired comrade, Shamuyarira were dishing out to thoroughly disinterested voters. The people’s voice will soon be heard loud and clear. Woe betides the man or woman who will seek to deceive this nation regarding that voice.
When the results get to be announced during the early part of the first week of April, the people of Zimbabwe will expect nothing short of a radical change of the guards at the national level. Anything short of that will be dayligh5t robbery, and the people of this country are now very angry and tired of pain. Who knows, they might take the law into their own hands Kenya style should any deception be perceived regarding the final results of the forthcoming elections. God bless Zimbabwe!